Fed's Goolsbee: shouldn't get carried away with a single month of data

President of the Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) Austan D. Goolsbee noted on Thursday that a single month of inflation data is not enough to hinge an entire monetary policy decision on.

Key highlights

• Even with January PCE data showing a good rebound, we should be cautious about extrapolating.
• Fed has made substantial progress on long-term inflation.
• We need to be careful with arguments suggesting the supply chain is fixed, and we should not expect further benefit in 2024.
• Lags on labor supply shocks are probably long.
• Fed's Goolsbee continues to focus on why housing inflation hasn't come down more.
• If substantial productivity growth continues, that would have an impact on monetary policy.
• Impacts of supply shock in inflation takes time, suggests benefits of supply chain on disinflation are still to come.