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Flash: Buy AUD/NZD targeting 1.2130/70 - Societe Generale

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Both from a technical and medium term valuation point of view AUD/NZD has reached extremely oversold levels, says Sebastien Galy, Currency Strategist at Societe Generale.

In view of Galy, the New Zealand Dollar economy will now start to catch-up with the worsening outlook in China, and as the USD rises, "it should lead to a sharp retracement higher in AUD/NZD" Galy said.

Galy suggests to "buy AUD/NZD at 1.1770 targeting 1.2130/70 stop loss 1.1570." The risk to this trade, according to Galy, "is that the market is surprised by the resilience of the NZ economy, or that AUD, as a main proxy for the Chinese slowdown could conceivably fall sharply on its own in a hard landing."

AUD/CAD depressed below 0.96 round

The AUD/CAD foreign exchange cross rate is currently trading at 0.9581 off fresh session lows at 0.9562, little changed from previous weekly close Friday.
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Flash: Market still pricing 75 bp RBNZ hike next 12 months - BNZ

Despite the sharp decline in the NZD/USD exchange rate, Craig Ebert, Economist at the Bank of New Zealand, "expect the RBNZ will probably downplay this fact, as it appears intent on keeping the OCR very low for as long as it possibly can, almost regardless of the facts and risks that confront it."
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